GAME 18 - OKLAHOMA (13-4) vs SOUTH CAROLINA (10-7) 3pm CST on ESPNU **POSTGAME added to end ..

Boom Soon said:
They’re not making the tournament man. I think we need to just accept that fact. Even with a win, this is still a poorly coached outmatched basketball team in the SEC. I’m very grateful for the fun OOC record but it’s time to get back to reality.
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Chances don’t look great.

Wague’s emergence gives me a little hope. Fears getting his footing in conference is big. He needs to keep it going for us to have a chance.
 
TINY said:
Chances don’t look great.

Wague’s emergence gives me a little hope. Fears getting his footing in conference is big. He needs to keep it going for us to have a chance.
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I think the hole is just too big to climb out of. Could they surprise us and win a big game or two? Absolutely. But the margin of error of 1-4 vs 3-2 (which is where I thought they would be at by now) is just too great to overcome for this team.

I’ll consider it a success if they can get to 18 wins and an NIT birth. Then I would expect a coaching search in the spring.
 
Boom Soon said:
I think the hole is just too big to climb out of. Could they surprise us and win a big game or two? Absolutely. But the margin of error of 1-4 vs 3-2 (which is where I thought they would be at by now) is just too great to overcome for this team.

I’ll consider it a success if they can get to 18 wins and an NIT birth. Then I would expect a coaching search in the spring.
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A 5-13 conference record is an absolute disaster, which is what an 18-win season would be. Actually, 5-14, including the conference tournament. I can’t imagine we would accept an NIT bid, especially if Joe makes the right decision and moves on from Moser. The priority should be hiring a coach as quickly as possible after getting bounced in Nashville.
 
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WichitaSooner said:
A 5-13 conference record is an absolute disaster, which is what an 18-win season would be. Actually, 5-14, including the conference season. I can’t imagine we would accept an NIT bid, especially if Joe makes the right decision and moves on from Moser. The priority should be hiring a coach as quickly as possible after getting bounced in Nashville.
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Oh I know it would be a disaster overall. But, as a fan, I’m just hoping for 18 wins so I have a semblance of positivity.
 
Must wins to get a bubble (4):

53 Arkansas (A), 48 Vandy, 68 LSU, 42 Texas (A) That gets you to 18.

You need to steal 2 or 3 more wins in conference as well:

19 A$M (A) - (would be a good away win, low chance)
2 Auburn (A) - (no chance)
6 Tenn - (nope)
28 Missou (A) - (doubtful)
5 Florida (A) - (nope)
22 Miss St - (this is a chance)
20 Kentucky - (this is less of a chance)
17 Ole Miss (A) - (low chance)
28 Missou - (think this has to be the other of the 2)

If you get to 20 wins, you are on the bubble again...and we all know how well the committee treats us on the bubble. So my guess is we need 21 wins to be in, 20 is fate and not great. 6 wins gets you talking, 7 wins get you in. IMO

Net Rankings.PNG
 
Sooner04 said:
I think that's a pipe dream. Two of four was the absolute minimum from the eATMe, Georgia, UT, Carolina stretch. We're toast, and I imagine we'll be starting from scratch in about two months.
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I agree. I listened to Moser’s post game last Saturday and he said something to the affect of: “Now that we got the monkey off our back we can start stacking wins.” I was thinking shouldn’t they have been stacking wins for the last couple of weeks? It’s wild how uninspired the team looked at times the last four games. Like we all knew how important the first four games were yet the team did not play like that for huge stretches.
 
TEvans4Three said:
Must wins to get a bubble (4):

53 Arkansas (A), 48 Vandy, 68 LSU, 42 Texas (A) That gets you to 18.

You need to steal 2 or 3 more wins in conference as well:

19 A$M (A) - (would be a good away win, low chance)
2 Auburn (A) - (no chance)
6 Tenn - (nope)
28 Missou (A) - (doubtful)
5 Florida (A) - (nope)
22 Miss St - (this is a chance)
20 Kentucky - (this is less of a chance)
17 Ole Miss (A) - (low chance)
28 Missou - (think this has to be the other of the 2)

If you get to 20 wins, you are on the bubble again...and we all know how well the committee treats us on the bubble. So my guess is we need 21 wins to be in, 20 is fate and not great. 6 wins gets you talking, 7 wins get you in. IMO

View attachment 2206
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One thing to keep in mind, and I'm curious how much it'll truly come into effect, is the new WAB (wins above bubble) metric that the NCAA added to the team sheets that the selection committee officially uses.

NCAA Statistics

stats.ncaa.org stats.ncaa.org

OU was #6 in non-conference WAB and is currently #25 in it overall.

For those that don't know what it is, it essentially asks the question of "how would an average team do in this game?" It fights slightly against the traditional RPI/NET in that if you're a team like OU who played too many dog**** teams in non-conference but still avoided bad losses and have some good wins, you can rank well in WAB since you still performed overall well above average simply by results. Beating bad teams never hurts, losing to them really does, but you set yourself apart by winning some tough games and avoiding any bad losses.

Will this really matter? OU will have to decide that themselves and start winning some bigger games
 
OhioBornSoonerBred said:
One thing to keep in mind, and I'm curious how much it'll truly come into effect, is the new WAB (wins above bubble) metric that the NCAA added to the team sheets that the selection committee officially uses.

NCAA Statistics

stats.ncaa.org stats.ncaa.org

OU was #6 in non-conference WAB and is currently #25 in it overall.

For those that don't know what it is, it essentially asks the question of "how would an average team do in this game?" It fights slightly against the traditional RPI/NET in that if you're a team like OU who played too many dog**** teams in non-conference but still avoided bad losses and have some good wins, you can rank well in WAB since you still performed overall well above average simply by results. Beating bad teams never hurts, losing to them really does, but you set yourself apart by winning some tough games and avoiding any bad losses.

Will this really matter? OU will have to decide that themselves and start winning some bigger games
Click to expand...
These even worse subjective standards for this WAB and the Strength of Record (SOR) imo are ridiculous and created solely for the money-making teams to get in.. good thing we are in the SEC now. These things are created to justify letting Bama in every year for football regardless (except this year ; ) )

"how would an average team do in this game?"

That's like the same standard for SOR. means nothing imo
 
Arkansas looks bad. This will likely be our only chance for a road win. Gotta have it.
 
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