How Many More Wins to Make MM

[SunshinePumper]

What do we need 2 or 3 to feel safe before Nashville? One game at a time and home against Kentucky is HUGE.

I’ll say 3 total, whether it’s 2-2 and 1-1 in SEC Tourney or 3-1 to end the season and then whatever happens in conference tournament is gravy.

 

[IBSooner]

3 to be a lock. 2 and ehhhhh. But I agree 3 total

 

[OklaSooners]

3 and it’s a lock. Beat Kentucky Wednesday would be nice

 

[Boom Soon]

3. But, it’s a moot point if they don’t beat Kentucky.

 

[CoachTalk]

are we doing this? setting ourselves up for this again... My heart can't handle it...

but here we are... 3 wins!

 

[WaymanFan]

Last year, I actually started a thread with the title: "What SEED Do You Think OU Will Get?" before the conference tournament. As such, I should probably be barred from making any predictions for this year . That said, has any school gotten an at-large bid winning 33% of its conference games? If not, then we either need to get to 7-11 or make a run in the conference tourney. The thing is, we have the talent to win 7 conference games, but must have our A-game like we did for most of the Mississippi State game. We obviously have to beat Kentucky to at least continue this conversation.

 

[Boom Soon]

Last year, I actually started a thread with the title: "What SEED Do You Think OU Will Get?" before the conference tournament. As such, I should probably be barred from making any predictions for this year . That said, has any school gotten an at-large bid winning 33% of its conference games? If not, then we either need to get to 7-11 or make a run in the conference tourney. The thing is, we have the talent to win 7 conference games, but must have our A-game like we did for most of the Mississippi State game. We obviously have to beat Kentucky to at least continue this conversation.

I’m willing to believe again if they beat Kentucky. I think it may be the biggest game of Moser’s career at OU. I can see them putting together a run if they manage to do that. But, I also see a scenario where OU loses to Kentucky by 15+.

The question I ask myself is: What is best for the program going forward? I think the best thing is to get rid of Moser and find another coach. I love it when OU basketball wins but the concern is Joe C keeping Moser if OU gets to like 18 or 19 wins and barely misses again. Simply because the buyout is so high.

 

[AnotherSoonerInTX]

I’m willing to believe again if they beat Kentucky. I think it may be the biggest game of Moser’s career at OU. I can see them putting together a run if they manage to do that. But, I also see a scenario where OU loses to Kentucky by 15+.

The question I ask myself is: What is best for the program going forward? I think the best thing is to get rid of Moser and find another coach. I love it when OU basketball wins but the concern is Joe C keeping Moser if OU gets to like 18 or 19 wins and barely misses again. Simply because the buyout is so high.

OTOH, the more we win, the easier it is for Porter to get another job and for us to negotiate the buyout.

 

[pnkranger]

We're 4-10 in conference. No way 6-12 in conference, even with an SEC tournament win gets us in. Have to get to 7-11 in SEC. That + one tournament win is a lock. 7-11 + first round SEC loss, and we're on the doorstep again. We CAN win all 4 regular season games remaining. Just have to shoot well from outside.

We are 1-7 against the Ken Pom top 20 and 18-3 against everyone else...those three losses though are killer: LSU and Texas at home and Georgia on the road.

 

[Boom Soon]

OTOH, the more we win, the easier it is for Porter to get another job and for us to negotiate the buyout.

Fair point. He looks much better as a candidate than ending the season on a severe losing streak.

 

[Boom Soon]

We're 4-10 in conference. No way 6-12 in conference, even with an SEC tournament win gets us in. Have to get to 7-11 in SEC. That + one tournament win is a lock. 7-11 + first round SEC loss, and we're on the doorstep again. We CAN win all 4 regular season games remaining. Just have to shoot well from outside.

We are 1-7 against the Ken Pom top 20 and 18-3 against everyone else...those three losses though are killer: LSU and Texas at home and Georgia on the road.

Yeah I don’t think the LSU loss can be overcome. Unless they put together a run in the conference tourney.

 

[61sooner]

What are the odds, perhaps a 2 in 10 chance to make the tourney? If OU makes it in, probably shows how watered down the 68 team field is.

 

[pnkranger]

What are the odds, perhaps a 2 in 10 chance to make the tourney? If OU makes it in, probably shows how watered down the 68 team field is.

Our quad 1 record at 5-8 is the only metric that puts us near the dance right now. Maybe this is a retraction, but if we win 7 quad 1 games in the regular season, we'll have a chance. Only 11 schools with 7 or more quad 1 wins right now. Only 21 total with 6 or more. So that is the watermark we're looking at from my perspective. Get into the top 20 of quad 1 wins, and we're in.

 

[WichitaSooner]

What are the odds, perhaps a 2 in 10 chance to make the tourney? If OU makes it in, probably shows how watered down the 68 team field is.

I actually saw a writer tweet out a list of teams on the bubble a couple days ago and point out how weak it is, and (correctly) argue that it’s a perfect example of why they shouldn’t expand the tourney.

 

[CoachTalk]

I actually saw a writer tweet out a list of teams on the bubble a couple days ago and point out how weak it is, and (correctly) argue that it’s a perfect example of why they shouldn’t expand the tourney.

Never expand! EVER

 

[TEvans4Three]

We're 4-10 in conference. No way 6-12 in conference, even with an SEC tournament win gets us in. Have to get to 7-11 in SEC. That + one tournament win is a lock. 7-11 + first round SEC loss, and we're on the doorstep again. We CAN win all 4 regular season games remaining. Just have to shoot well from outside.

We are 1-7 against the Ken Pom top 20 and 18-3 against everyone else...those three losses though are killer: LSU and Texas at home and Georgia on the road.

Why did you stop at top 20? Weird to omit Michigan and Louisville by not saying top25 for the sake of a "gotcha" point.

3-7 didn't look as good as 1-7, sure. But don't do that, it's misleading/mildly duplicitous

Please don't move the goalposts to help fit your narrative. Use the standard, for cbb, top25.

 

[Dr Sleep]

3 is the least and still possibly make it in. We have seen in the recent past the overall record left us out despite schedule strength/Q1 and Q2 wins.

 

[austing7]

What do we need 2 or 3 to feel safe before Nashville? One game at a time and home against Kentucky is HUGE.

I’ll say 3 total, whether it’s 2-2 and 1-1 in SEC Tourney or 3-1 to end the season and then whatever happens in conference tournament is gravy.

With how weak the bubble is this year, 3 more wins would do it. Maybe 2 wins, but don't see how the committee would let in a team that goes 6-12 in conference play.

 

[WichitaSooner]

With how weak the bubble is this year, 3 more wins would do it. Maybe 2 wins, but don't see how the committee would let in a team that goes 6-12 in conference play.

I can’t stress this enough: the committee does not care what your conference record is. I know some people refuse to believe that, but it is absolutely true. If we go 6-12 and miss the tournament, it’s because our overall profile isn’t good enough, not because we went 6-12.

I still don’t see us winning two more games, which I think is the minimum needed to be in the mix. If we somehow go 2-2, we’d likely find ourselves in a first round conference tournament game against a fellow bubble team, much like last year.

 

[TEvans4Three]

I can’t stress this enough: the committee does not care what your conference record is. I know some people refuse to believe that, but it is absolutely true. If we go 6-12 and miss the tournament, it’s because our overall profile isn’t good enough, not because we went 6-12.

I still don’t see us winning two more games, which I think is the minimum needed to be in the mix. If we somehow go 2-2, we’d likely find ourselves in a first round conference tournament game against a fellow bubble team, much like last year.

Yea, completely agree here. It is going to be 2-2 as a First Team Out or Last Four In.

3-1 gets us in. 3-1 with 4 Q1 games left, is a solid finish.