Is This Rock Bottom For the Program?

OUSKINS

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So, a few things…

First, I haven not posted much lately because honestly, I have very little to add and majority of what I do have to say is negative/depressing/pessimistic.

Secondly, I’ve been upfront in past that I’m a 24/7/364 sports fan and that the NFL/NBA/MLB were my first loves and my pro teams will always rank higher on my priority list (more on that in a minute). That said, I have loved college basketball since I was a kid and Selection Sunday and the following week or two have always been yearly highlights for me. I moved back to OKC area in 2006 and in those almost 20 years I’d say I average attending 7-8 games per season. I normally do whatever I can to watch the others.

This year has been different. I haven’t been yet. Partly due to conflicts, but mostly due to lack of interest. I’ve watched a lot of the games, but not particularly intently and with only a small whiff of passion.

I’m not mad. I don’t hate Moser and I don’t think he sucks. I’m not protesting or making some sort of statement. I’ve just reached a level of apathy I wasn’t sure I was capable of reaching.

So that leads me to my question… is it me or is this THE rock bottom point in OU basketball history?

Now, understand, I am NOT asking if this is the worst team in OU history. It’s not. It’s not even the worst team in RECENT OU history. And it’s certainly not the flaming dumpster fire of the last Capel season. But even at that point, I never really considered that maybe the program was just dead. I figured it would take a couple years to clean it up, but Joe C would find an answer—- and he did.

But since the peak of the 2016 FF team there has been a serious slide into the muck.

—The last half of the Lon era was not good. They never really bottomed out, but each season turned into a dogfight just to hover around .500 and squeeze into tourney. Worse in my eyes was the inability to maximize talent. Seeing players like McGusty and Manek far exceed their Norman production elsewhere. Seeing a team with a future NBA AS (I’m not a huge Trae fan, but he IS a high level NBA guy) flounder and look disinterested and disjointed. Seeing a guy like Austin Reaves become a go-to player in the NBA and wondering how we didn’t fare better with him on the squad.

—This is why I don’t totally destroy Porter. Because he’s just sort of kept that Lon train rolling. It’s the same stuff. Not getting enough talent and then failing to maximize what we have. Uzan and Oweh are major pieces on far better teams. And no need to outline or bemoan the hot starts following by horrid performance in conference.

—And I’m not sure if chicken or egg but the support and fan interest level is abysmal. I guess it doesn’t really matter if it’s cause or effect at this point (probably a bit of both) but it certainly adds to the depressed feeling around the program.

—I’m guilty of it, but the Thunder effect is also massive. Pretty unique situation in B12/SEC country— not many schools have an NBA team so close— and this one just happens to be a stellar/model franchise that currently boasts the best basketball team in the world. Making the decision on which team to follow most closely between Norman, Stillwater, and Bricktown is pretty darn easy. My kids are 16, 13, and 8. The oldest and youngest LOVE basketball. They are always happy to go to a game in Norman and root for them on TV, but they are Thunder/NBA OBSESSED. To say OU is an undercard is a slight to all undercards.

—Changing nature of college sports landscape. This isn’t unique to OU of course, but if a program struggles, I think you will see fans turn faster and be less quick to return than in the past as many are frustrated with the system. Winning at a higher level than ever before may be required to retain interest.

—Throw in the arena/LNC issue. I personally don’t mind the LNC but there is nothing additive about it. The ONLY reason to go to a game is to watch the game. And if the games stink….

So I take all of this into account and I think the program is truly in deep trouble. No hyperbole or recency bias. They haven’t had a truly “good” team in a decade now. And we now have a coach in his fourth year that is likely going to be 0-4 in terms of just making the tournament, which is the absolutely baseline floor for me in terms of where we should be as a program.

So year 4… no tourney appearances under his belt, only losing conf records to show, and headed for another bottom finish in their conference. Arena empty and/or lifeless. Zero competitiveness against top teams. Transfers leaving and finding better homes/roles elsewhere. Team and individual production going downhill as season progresses.

Not good. Not good at all.

And now, realizing the reality of being a smaller fish in a bigger pond… this all feels highly problematic.

Yes, I think the time is likely right after this season to move on from Moser. I like him. Seems he’s put in a greet effort with a lot of passion and has been accountable. He doesn’t throw kids or anyone else under the bus. He doesn’t complain about the lack of support (which has to be a bummer). But it hasn’t worked. It just hasn’t. It’s not all him, but it also appears he doesn’t have the answers so you gotta try someone else.

But that “someone else” I believe has a Herculean task on their hands. I really do. This program is in shambles. The decibel level has never been lower. I don’t even know what the selling point is at this point. It’s not a top job. It’s a “meh” opportunity. Thankfully, there are still more quality coaches out there than opportunities so it IS possible, but boy, the task has never looked more difficult and the clouds have been more gray over the skies of the OU basketball program.
 
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Agree with OP. Like he said, he isn't arguing this is our worst season. Sure, we could have more losses this season. Lord knows we had worse years under Capel, and a terrible season under Lon, and Moser's second year was worse than this year. But it's been decades since we have missed the tourney this many seasons in a row (that was true coming into this season, and we are trending towards adding another year to the drought). I can't claim to know what the feeling around the program was right before Billy was hired, let alone in the decades before, but this is absolutely the worst it's felt in four decades, both in morale and results (i.e., tourney berths).
 
This season has its disappointments, no doubt about it. And it could get worse as the season progresses (or it could get better).

But check out the 1950s and '60s. We've been MUCH worse off than we are currently.
 
Agree with much of you posted. Like your kids ( but I'm 51), I've become more interested in the Thunder the last couple of seasons with their great young nucleus. With the right coach, I don't think OU is that far off from being really good again. I've poopoo-ed Moser as much as anyone, but I don't think he is bad coach at all....I just believe he isn't cut out to coach in an elite conference. I think he will have some success when he eventually winds up at a mid-major type of program again.

As far as rock-bottom, I feel now the way I felt in Tubbs' last couple of seasons. Billy just seemed somewhat disinterested (and so did his teams) his final years. I think a change was good for him....and I believe a change for us (the fanbase) and the program will be positive as well. We are just going to have to persevere until that time.
 
No. I was little, but the pre-Dave Bliss era was pretty dead, as was his last year.

The trajectory is headed downward, though, and has been since the 2016 Final Four.
 
No. I was little, but the pre-Dave Bliss era was pretty dead, as was his last year.

The trajectory is headed downward, though, and has been since the 2016 Final Four.

I think that’s my biggest issue. If I felt it was JUST a Moser issue you’d chalk it up to a disappointing hire and move on. But this spans two coaches (one of whom is a highly successful college coach). The last half of Lon era looks a whole lot like the Moser era (both in terms of results and general buzz around program). And again, when you are essentially a decade removed from last really legit team, it has stretched well beyond a lull or maybe even a trend. It might just be who you are.
 
The end of Capel’s tenure was much, much worse than this, so this isn’t rock bottom.

Disagree. While that actual team was WAY worse, we were still barely removed from a 30 win/Elite 8 season and I think most chalked it up to Capel getting in way over his head and making some big mistakes. I think there was confidence and excitement surrounding the Lon hire with most figuring it would probably work out OK. I do not think that is likely going to be the sentiment this time unless Joe C pulls some sort of rabbit out of his hat.
 
Disagree. While that actual team was WAY worse, we were still barely removed from a 30 win/Elite 8 season and I think most chalked it up to Capel getting in way over his head and making some big mistakes. I think there was confidence and excitement surrounding the Lon hire with most figuring it would probably work out OK. I do not think that is likely going to be the sentiment this time unless Joe C pulls some sort of rabbit out of his hat.
That’s a fair perspective.
 
If we don't make the NCAA tournament after the way we beat a very good Michigan team two months back, then this will be the low point for me as a fan since the '70s. We've had several years worse than this year even if we don't win another game....but we haven't had 9 consecutive years which we haven't been above .500 in conference play. Finally, we have an AD that I no longer have confidence in to make the right decisions for the men's basketball program.

The dream here is a new AD who wants to have a high-quality men's basketball program. If all he cares about is football, then we will be stuck in the bottom of the SEC for years to come no matter how good the head coach is. I understand the poor fan support is not remotely helpful, so at the end of the day the fans will have to WANT a good men's basketball program as well. There are football posters who don't eve view basketball as a SPORT. That is a frightening mentality. Bottom line - LOTS has to change if we want this pointing in the right direction.
 
I think that’s my biggest issue. If I felt it was JUST a Moser issue you’d chalk it up to a disappointing hire and move on. But this spans two coaches (one of whom is a highly successful college coach). The last half of Lon era looks a whole lot like the Moser era (both in terms of results and general buzz around program). And again, when you are essentially a decade removed from last really legit team, it has stretched well beyond a lull or maybe even a trend. It might just be who you are.
Right now, it is who we are. Changing coaches is not going to make any difference. There has to be change in the way the program is viewed, and that starts at the top. Until that changes, we will be losing all decent recruits from the area, And we will not be able to win in the portal era. That is the reality of our situation.
 
If we don't make the NCAA tournament after the way we beat a very good Michigan team two months back, then this will be the low point for me as a fan since the '70s. We've had several years worse than this year even if we don't win another game....but we haven't had 9 consecutive years which we haven't been above .500 in conference play. Finally, we have an AD that I no longer have confidence in to make the right decisions for the men's basketball program.

The dream here is a new AD who wants to have a high-quality men's basketball program. If all he cares about is football, then we will be stuck in the bottom of the SEC for years to come no matter how good the head coach is. I understand the poor fan support is not remotely helpful, so at the end of the day the fans will have to WANT a good men's basketball program as well. There are football posters who don't eve view basketball as a SPORT. That is a frightening mentality. Bottom line - LOTS has to change if we want this pointing in the right direction.
I've said this a million times... OU fans are spoiled front runners. You gotta have success, and big success to reel them in and keep them. Look at softball. You think all those OU softball fans were sitting around saying, "I want the best softball team in the country!" those many years ago? Right. I'd venture to guess most OU fans didn't know what softball was other than men's beer league slow pitch. But here comes Patti with her dynasty and now everyone at OU is a dang softball expert, follows recruiting, the offseason LOL. You think if basketball had someone that did even half of that basketball wouldn't explode? Of course it would.

OU overall is a fat and happy program with spoiled fans that is in a position it isn't used to. Success has been taken for granted for a long time, but it's now dwindling. Two opposite examples are Texas Tech and Arkansas. Texas Tech, as repulsive of an entity as they are, are doing everything they can to win. Sure, they have that billionaire booster Campbell, but as an outfit they have never won anything and are starving for success. They will do anything to get it and now that the Wild West is here and they have a money guy, watch out. They have a disciplined system in place and are buying every great player they can get their hands on. In the meantime holier than thou OU continues to try to ride their "tradition" and "name". I bring up Arkansas just because they have very loyal fans that stick, win or lose. They also have some pretty big boosters so watch out for them. At OU, many fans run for the hills when things aren't going well. Very fickle.

I think OU as an overall athletic dept just needs to get hungry. Maybe this current mediocrity in the two major men's sports will do it. Not sure what all is going on, what all is misaligned but they need somebody new who loves OU to come in and bring it all together. Someone hungry and not riding off the coattails of the past. Will be interesting to see how everything shakes out moving forward, and how long it takes them to wake up..
 
I've said this a million times... OU fans are spoiled front runners. You gotta have success, and big success to reel them in and keep them. Look at softball. You think all those OU softball fans were sitting around saying, "I want the best softball team in the country!" those many years ago? Right. I'd venture to guess most OU fans didn't know what softball was other than men's beer league slow pitch. But here comes Patti with her dynasty and now everyone at OU is a dang softball expert, follows recruiting, the offseason LOL. You think if basketball had someone that did even half of that basketball wouldn't explode? Of course it would.

OU overall is a fat and happy program with spoiled fans that is in a position it isn't used to. Success has been taken for granted for a long time, but it's now dwindling. Two opposite examples are Texas Tech and Arkansas. Texas Tech, as repulsive of an entity as they are, are doing everything they can to win. Sure, they have that billionaire booster Campbell, but as an outfit they have never won anything and are starving for success. They will do anything to get it and now that the Wild West is here and they have a money guy, watch out. They have a disciplined system in place and are buying every great player they can get their hands on. In the meantime holier than thou OU continues to try to ride their "tradition" and "name". I bring up Arkansas just because they have very loyal fans that stick, win or lose. They also have some pretty big boosters so watch out for them. At OU, many fans run for the hills when things aren't going well. Very fickle.

I think OU as an overall athletic dept just needs to get hungry. Maybe this current mediocrity in the two major men's sports will do it. Not sure what all is going on, what all is misaligned but they need somebody new who loves OU to come in and bring it all together. Someone hungry and not riding off the coattails of the past. Will be interesting to see how everything shakes out moving forward, and how long it takes them to wake up..
Starts at the top. Joe C. is the fattest and happiest AD in the country. He is far from his elite days, and should have been gone 5 years ago. Now, his laziness and ineptitude has ruined the top 2 programs at OU, in terms of money.
 
The dream here is a new AD who wants to have a high-quality men's basketball program. If all he cares about is football, then we will be stuck in the bottom of the SEC for years to come no matter how good the head coach is. I understand the poor fan support is not remotely helpful, so at the end of the day the fans will have to WANT a good men's basketball program as well. There are football posters who don't eve view basketball as a SPORT. That is a frightening mentality. Bottom line - LOTS has to change if we want this pointing in the right direction.
Unlike softball or other women's sports, there has always been a mentality that basketball is competing with football for love, attention, money, etc. It was like that in Billy's and Kelvin's days, as well. Billy was loved (especially his style of coaching and play), but the arena was only filled for big games. Kelvin won just about as big, but wasn't appreciated or even liked until he was long gone. People complained about his style of play (sometimes rightfully), but he won.

It's like you have to be a fan of either OU football or OU basketball, but not both. But...a ton of those OU football fans are now fans of the Thunder, especially like now when they're winning. Why can't someone be a fan of both OU football AND basketball?

With our fan base, it's national championship or bust. Football used to win them. We have some fans that like softball as a sport, but most love OU softball because they win nattys, dominate their opponents, and recruit likable players. However, softball, gymnastics, women's hoops, etc. have never been seen in competition with OU football like men's hoops has. I halfway feel sorry for this practically new softball team because the bar has been set so high for them, and the revenue sports are struggling. Our fans have migrated to softball because they win national championships, sort of as a form of therapy since football hasn't performed to standard. If the softball team doesn't win a natty, our fan base will be beside themselves.
 
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Starts at the top. Joe C. is the fattest and happiest AD in the country. He is far from his elite days, and should have been gone 5 years ago. Now, his laziness and ineptitude has ruined the top 2 programs at OU, in terms of money.
Joe C was the best athletic director in the country under the old paradigm. Once NIL and the portal came into play, college athletics changed and we weren't ready. We're behind the 8 ball now.
 
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