Let's talk OU vs Baylor

DFWHoopster

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KenPom Four Factors:

Offensive Efficiency: Baylor- 11; Oklahoma- 70
Defensive Efficiency: Baylor- 19; Oklahoma- 108

Field goal percentages:
-- Offensive effectiveness: Baylor- 11; Oklahoma- 194
-- Defensive effectiveness: Baylor- 41; Oklahoma- 133

Turnovers:
-- Offensive: Baylor- 235; OU- 59
-- Defensive: Baylor- 35; OU- 127

Rebounding percentages:
-- Offensive: Baylor- 40; OU- 14
-- Defensive: Baylor- 243; OU- 180

Free Throws/Field Goal attempts:
-- Getting to the line: Baylor- 141; OU- 253
-- Avoiding fouls: Baylor- 81; OU- 82

This is how I see it:

OU wins if they:
1. Outrebound Baylor and hold the edge in 2nd chance points
2. Make a high percentage of mid range jumpers. I'm sure the Baylor scouting report will be to shut down Pledger. Fitz/ Osby and Clark should have open mid range shots against the Baylor zone.
3. Shoot 50% from the field

Baylor wins if:

1. They control the glass and outscore OU in the paint 2-1.
2. Pierre Jackson has less than 3 turnovers.
3. Baylor holds the advantage in free throw attempts

Thoughts?
 
I could see OU winning this game like they did the KSU game. We are really a pretty solid team, just thin. Of course we could just as easily be beaten like the KU game too.
 
For OU to beat any good teams, they must shoot over 50 %, I think it is a bad spot for OU with Baylor coming off two straight losses.
 
From what I could tell in a package of DOK stories, OU might as well not show up for this game or the women's game. So that'll mean it'll really be sweet if OU shows up to play and beats them again. And even if they don't, I truly believe the balance of power will shift back to where it's traditionally been (OU dominating them).
 
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