March Madness and Covid-19

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Eielson said:
Interesting to see that even a month ago Oklahoma had days when they would test almost 20,000 people for COVID and have less than 100 come back positive. So much for the "not having enough tests" narrative. From what I've seen, it has been pretty impressive how quickly we have scaled this testing.

Sure, it'd be nice for us to test every single citizen every morning. It would also be nice if babies didn't cry on planes and could potty-train themselves.
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Well that's misleading, if you look at those spikes they are all after the weekend and are reporting 3-4 days of testing at once. There was never a single day where Oklahoma tested 20,000 people. But it is good that we got testing ramped up. Unfortunately our positivity rate is way up now.
 
steverocks35 said:
Well that's misleading, if you look at those spikes they are all after the weekend and are reporting 3-4 days of testing at once.
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Doesn't matter much if 20,000 tests with less than 100 positive was over one day or three. If it was 6,000 tests in a day with around 30 positive, my point still stands.
 
Eielson said:
Doesn't matter much if 20,000 tests with less than 100 positive was over one day or three. If it was 6,000 tests in a day with around 30 positive, my point still stands.
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Of course, but it's misleading to say that we did 20,000 tests in a day, we didn't.

The graph is weird, hover over one of the weekends and look at the positives. It looks like the graph is putting the positive results on the right day and leaving the total tested on the day reported. If you hover over the weekend of May 2nd you will see it says "Total tests 121, total positives 121." So I'm not sure if what you're saying is accurate or if the graph is a little misleading.
 
steverocks35 said:
You think I'm trying to oversimplify a more complicated concept? Okay lol
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Yes I truly do, when it suites you.

For example, when I'm trying to explain that during the first period of fear and lockdown, maybe we didn't have a true feel for how many people really had COVID b/c of a lack of testing, it was shot down. Maybe the spike now, is a rolling hill

We all do it.
 
Yeah the graph is misleading. I did my own math. If you hover over the big spike in front of the "M" in May, you will see it says total tested is 15,569 and then it gives a positivity rate of 3.6%. Well the graph says there were only 83 positives that day, but 3.6% of 15,569 is 560. so it obviously is skewed. It's graphing the total tests on the day reported and graphing the positive results on the right day which makes for a very confusing graph.
 
SoonerBounce13 said:
Yes I truly do, when it suites you.

For example, when I'm trying to explain that during the first period of fear and lockdown, maybe we didn't have a true feel for how many people really had COVID b/c of a lack of testing, it was shot down. Maybe the spike now, is a rolling hill

We all do it.
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The spike now is not a rolling hill, I've explained to you why it is not.
 
steverocks35 said:
Yeah the graph is misleading. I did my own math. If you hover over the big spike in front of the "M" in May, you will see it says total tested is 15,569 and then it gives a positivity rate of 3.6%. Well the graph says there were only 83 positives that day, but 3.6% of 15,569 is 560. so it obviously is skewed. It's graphing the total tests on the day reported and graphing the positive results on the right day which makes for a very confusing graph.
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Duh, I'm an idiot, the rate is being reported on the graph as a 7 day rolling average, it's not the rate for that particular day.
 
SoonerBounce13 said:
You can't say this with positivity though as we don't know the true numbers 3 months ago vs the true numbers today
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I can say that with positivity because we know the true numbers a month ago, a week ago and now. We are having a spike right now.
 
SoonerBounce13 said:
which goes back to what I said...we are having a spike of teh KNOWN cases
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Lol, of course we are having a spike of KNOWN cases, otherwise we wouldn't know about the spike. I think you think that the spike is because of increased testing but it is not.
 
steverocks35 said:
Lol, of course we are having a spike of KNOWN cases, otherwise we wouldn't know about the spike. I think you think that the spike is because of increased testing but it is not.
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How can you say that?
I'm not saying there isn't an increase. I just don't think it is any worse than it was in March. I think we had the initial spike and the lockdown. And then we started declining. Then when things opened up and teh protests happened, we saw an increase. This is natural. I don't think anyone is disputing this.
But if we tested ~6k per day in March and April like we have in May/June, we would have had a lot more known cases.
 
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