What Is Your NCAA Tourney Seed Prediction?

[TEvans4Three]

That was yesterday. I’ll be curious where we slot in on the Matrix today.

DRatings is as of 9am this morning.

 

[StoopsBros]

 

[BoulderSooner]

Big difference is ALL losses are Q1 this year. No bad losses is something the committee values "gulp" hopefully.

OU should have been in in 2022 by all metrics ... but the committee just choose to not look past the conf record

 

[StoopsBros]

This man makes a great point.

 

[TEvans4Three]

This man makes a great point.

Man, I love all this debate and fodder for teams getting in or not...THE BEST TIME OF YEAR!

(My true holiday...March Mardness)

 

[StoopsBros]

What if North Texas upsets FAU today?

Could they really leave out a (new) media darling team?

Man, I doubt it but the AAC is pretty bad.

 

[TEvans4Three]

This man makes a great point.

This peaked my curiosity:




Dayton has a solid Q1 record. 8-7 Q1/Q2 which is the only positive record of the 5 shown.

Bracketmatrix (as of yest) currently has the teams slated as such:

7-seed: Dayton
10-seed: Michigan State
Bubble-Out: Cincinnati
10-seed: Oklahoma
bubble-Out: Kansas State

 

[WichitaSooner]

This man makes a great point.

Bad news for us is 8 of those 10 teams are still playing and have chances to pick up big wins.

 

[BoulderSooner]

 

[StoopsBros]

Erik Haslam has OU as a 10 seed. Cool site for those unaware.

https://haslametrics.com/

OU team capsule

Haslametrics: A unique approach to college basketball analysis

The goal of Haslametrics is to provide unique statistical insight and to offer predictive analysis based on teams' prior performances in a given season.

haslametrics.com

 

[BoulderSooner]

some games of interest today ..

MSU vs purdue if MSU loses they fall below OU in seeding .. win they are above
Mississippi st they lose they are likely in the first 4 ..
St johns v uconn st johns win they move above OU is seeding lose they are below ..

Pitt v UConn pitt wins they are in lose they are out ..
Tamu vs kentucky tamu wins they are in lose they might be out
Fau unt FAU is in they need to win teh AAC to keep a bid thief out

 

[IndySooner]

Bad news for us is 8 of those 10 teams are still playing and have chances to pick up big wins.

The good news is, if he’s right, six of those teams would have to jump us to keep us out.

 

[StoopsBros]

 

[dksooner]

Boom, we consider all our losses are Q1 lol

 

[dksooner]

Jerry Palm update, still a 9.

 

[StoopsBros]

Jerry Palm update, still a 9.

vs Clemson.

Very unlikely but I'd love that matchup. They are definitely beatable.

 

[IndySooner]

vs Clemson.

Very unlikely but I'd love that matchup. They are definitely beatable.

100% would LOVE that matchup. Actually, any ACC team not named North Carolina would be fine with me.

 

[MJSooner]

I don’t think the field/bubble is a strong this year as it was two years ago. There were also a few last minute bid thieves.

That said, anyone who thinks OU is still “solidly in” just isn’t looking at things correctly. There is an opportunity today for LOTS of teams to pick up massive wins and jump OU. For example, OU may or may not be ahead of St John’s currently. Well, if they beat UCONN, then they are definitely getting jumped. Same with several others.

UVA would be one to watch for sure as losing to NC St would hurt them. It would also put NC St one win from stealing a bid though.

I legit think there are 4-5 teams that can 100% jump OU today… if all those go against us I think we become play-in at best and could be bounced entirely if bid thieves step in.

If you are buying Lunardi's rankings of the final teams, we would have to drop 6 or 7 spots to miss the tournament.

 

[WichitaSooner]

If you are buying Lunardi's rankings of the final teams, we would have to drop 6 or 7 spots to miss the tournament.

The Athletic said that this year, the bubble teams are actually winning more conference tourney games than usual, making it dicier than usual for the teams already on the sideline.

 

[TINY]

The Athletic said that this year, the bubble teams are actually winning more conference tourney games than usual, making it dicier than usual for the teams already on the sideline.

The wins by those bubble teams haven’t moved the needle yet imo. Today would change that obviously.

Ou beat a top 10 Baylor in ‘21 (a better win than any bubble team so far), and it didn’t matter at all to the committee.