If you want to keep using faulty logic, I'm not going to stop you. I'm simply going to point out that it is faulty.
And I never used the word "judge", you did. I said gauge. Predict. If you are trying to use past performance to predict future performance, the only way to do that is to predict what kind of talent you expect Capel to have in the future. Sure, it will likely be more than this year (although it isn't looking good for that happening next year), but I'd say on average, it'll be on the level of his first team at OU, a lot moreso then the teams Blake played on.
If you think Capel can consistently recruit Blake-like players to OU fine. I disagree. Big time. But you are entitled to your opinion.
And don't forget, on paper, this team is much more talented then it has played up to. It has 3 top 125 HS players on it. It has two other Oklahoma POY's. It has a pg that won some award as a freshman last year in another D1 league. Newell was said to have top 125 talent, just underranked for a variety of reasons.
As a comparison, best I can tell, using one of the recruiting sites as reference, none of TT, ISU, Nebraska, or Colorado signed a single top 150 player in the last 3 years.
And I'd guess we're pretty comparable, recruit ranking-wise, to at least one or two other Big 12 teams. So the question is, why is Capel doing so much less with that talent? And just how many top 150 players do you expect him to keep on the roster, on average? Because my guess is, that is pretty much on par with most seasons in the last 15 years, save the Final Four team, and possibly the freshman year of Lav/Mac/Foust.